In December 2009, world leaders gathered in Copenhagen, Denmark, for what many hoped would be a defining moment in global climate action. The Copenhagen Summit brought together over 100 heads of state and more than 40,000 participants including scientists, activists, and policymakers to negotiate a successor to the Kyoto Protocol. The stakes were high, and the expectations even higher.

Table of Contents

What the Copenhagen Summit aimed to achieve

The summit convened as the 15th Conference of Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Nearly 193 countries participated in negotiations that had been building since the 2007 Bali Action Plan. The primary goal was clear: establish a comprehensive global agreement for climate action beyond 2012, when the first commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol would expire.

Delegates arrived with ambitious plans to address critical elements including emission reduction commitments, climate finance mechanisms, technology transfer to developing nations, and verification systems for national climate actions. The expectation was that Copenhagen would produce a legally binding treaty that would guide international climate efforts for years to come.

Five critical issues at the negotiating table

The summit focused on five major areas of concern. First, negotiators worked to advance the Kyoto Protocol framework while incorporating commitments from nations not bound by the original treaty, particularly the United States. Second, countries debated mid-term greenhouse gas emission reduction targets, with developed nations under pressure to commit to specific cuts by 2020.

Third, the summit addressed the need for rigorous measurement, reporting, and verification systems to ensure countries followed through on their commitments. This proved especially contentious, as some developing nations resisted external monitoring they viewed as infringing on sovereignty.

Fourth, financing emerged as a crucial sticking point. Developing countries emphasized they needed substantial financial support to both reduce emissions and adapt to climate impacts already underway. Finally, technology transfer became a key demand, with developing nations seeking access to clean energy technologies and expertise from industrialized countries.

Scientific targets that shaped negotiations

Climate science provided the foundation for the negotiations. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change had established clear targets: to avoid dangerous climate change, global greenhouse gas emissions needed to peak by 2015, then decline substantially. Scientists called for reductions of 25 to 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2020, ultimately reaching 80 percent cuts by 2050.

These targets aimed to stabilize atmospheric carbon dioxide at 450 parts per million and limit global warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. The scientific consensus emphasized that deep cuts in global emissions were required to prevent the worst impacts of climate change.

The Copenhagen Accord: a political compromise

After intense negotiations that extended into the final hours, world leaders produced the Copenhagen Accord. Rather than the legally binding treaty many had hoped for, the accord emerged as a political agreement drafted primarily by the United States, China, India, Brazil, and South Africa.

The accord recognized the scientific view that global temperature increases should remain below 2 degrees Celsius. It established a process for countries to submit their emission reduction pledges by January 31, 2010, marking the first time major developing countries including China made explicit emission commitments.

Key provisions of the accord included developed countries committing to economy-wide emission targets for 2020, while developing nations agreed to implement mitigation actions. The agreement also outlined broad terms for reporting and verifying countries’ climate actions, though specific monitoring mechanisms remained to be developed.

Financial commitments for climate action

One of the most concrete outcomes was the establishment of climate finance mechanisms. Developed countries committed to providing new resources approaching $30 billion for the period 2010-2012, with funding balanced between helping developing countries reduce emissions and adapt to climate impacts.

Looking further ahead, nations agreed to a goal of mobilizing $100 billion annually by 2020 from public and private sources. This long-term finance would support mitigation efforts, adaptation measures, technology development and transfer, and capacity building in developing countries.

Establishing the Green Climate Fund

The Copenhagen Green Climate Fund represented a major institutional development. The fund was designed to channel financial resources for climate projects, programs, and policies in developing countries, addressing both mitigation and adaptation needs. The accord also called for establishing a technology mechanism to accelerate clean technology development and transfer, along with mechanisms to reduce emissions from deforestation.

Reception and limitations of the agreement

Reactions to the Copenhagen Accord were decidedly mixed. The Conference of Parties chose only to “take note” of the accord rather than formally adopting it, reflecting deep divisions among participating nations. Some countries viewed this procedural compromise as the best outcome possible given the circumstances, while others saw it as a fundamental failure.

Critics pointed out significant shortcomings. The accord was not legally binding and set no mandatory emission reduction targets. Uncertainty remained about where climate finance would come from and how it would be distributed. The agreement also lacked clear timelines for implementing many of its provisions.

Some developing nations felt excluded from the final negotiations, as the accord’s basic terms were brokered by a small group of leaders. Several countries, including Bolivia and Venezuela, strongly opposed the agreement, arguing it failed to adequately address climate justice concerns or provide sufficient support for vulnerable nations.

What Copenhagen meant for climate action

Despite its limitations, the Copenhagen Summit marked important shifts in global climate politics. For the first time, all major economies made emission pledges, breaking down the traditional divide between developed and developing country commitments. The summit also brought unprecedented political attention to climate change, with climate action reaching the highest levels of government worldwide.

The financial commitments, though controversial, established frameworks that influenced subsequent climate negotiations. The $100 billion annual goal became a benchmark for international climate finance discussions in the years that followed.

However, analysis showed the voluntary pledges would likely prove insufficient. Studies projected that even if countries fulfilled their Copenhagen commitments, emissions would peak around 2020 but remain above levels needed to limit warming to 2 degrees Celsius with reasonable certainty.

What do you think? How did the shift from legally binding commitments to voluntary pledges affect the effectiveness of international climate cooperation? What lessons from Copenhagen influenced the eventual success of the Paris Agreement six years later?

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References
  1. https://www.c2es.org/content/cop-15-copenhagen/
  2. https://enb.iisd.org/copenhagen-climate-change-conference-cop15/summary-report
  3. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Copenhagen_Accord
  4. https://www.green.earth/blog/green-climate-fund
  5. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02846-3

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Introduction to Climate Change

1 Atmospheric Structure and Composition

  1. Weather and Climate
  2. Climate – Global, Regional and Local
  3. The Atmosphere
  4. Structure of the Atmosphere
  5. Climate Change and Climate Variability

2 Solar Radiation and Global Energy Budget

  1. Solar Radiation
  2. The Greenhouse Effect
  3. Greenhouse Gases
  4. Global Warming Potential
  5. Trends in Greenhouse Gases Emissions

3 Radiative Forcing

  1. Natural Driversโ€™ of Climate Change
  2. Anthropogenic Driversโ€™ of Climate Change
  3. What is Radiative Forcing?

4 Climate Feedbacks

  1. What is a Climate Feedback?
  2. Water Vapour Feedback
  3. Snow and Ice Albedo Feedback
  4. Cloud Feedbacks
  5. Lapse-Rate Feedback
  6. Ocean-circulation Feedback

5 Account of Past Climate

  1. Palaeoclimate
  2. Glimpse of Earthโ€™s Climate through Ages
  3. Sources of Palaeoclimatic Data
  4. Climate of the Quaternary Period

6 Environmental Indicators and Instrumental Records

  1. Factors affecting the Earthโ€™s Climate System
  2. The Measurement of Climate Change
  3. Annual Resolution Data from Proxy Record
  4. Centennial to Millennial Scale Data from Proxy Records

7 Human Footprints on Global Warming

  1. Human Population Growth
  2. Human Population Growth
  3. Industrialization
  4. Deforestation
  5. Direct and Indirect Impacts of Deforestation
  6. Urbanization
  7. Particulates
  8. Desertification
  9. Stratospheric Ozone Depletion

8 Predicting Future Climates

  1. Analogues from Past Climate
  2. Climate Models
  3. Types of Climate Models
  4. Greenhouse Gas Emission Scenarios
  5. Time Dependent Models
  6. Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)

9 Temperature Regime

  1. Introduction
  2. Trends in Temperature
  3. Trends in Precipitation
  4. Trends in Rise in Sea Level
  5. Global Warming and Cyclones
  6. Let Us Sum Up
  7. Keywords

10 Precipitation Regime

  1. The Hydrological Cycle
  2. Monsoon
  3. Global Monsoon System
  4. Climates: Global, Regional and Local
  5. El Niรฑo
  6. Weather Aberrations
  7. Climate Uncertainties
  8. Future Climate in the 21st Century

11 Composition Regime

  1. Impact of Climate Change on Biodiversity
  2. Snow Line
  3. Timberline
  4. Permafrost
  5. Methane Clathrates
  6. Forest Fires
  7. Aerosols and Climate Interactions

12 Extreme Climate Events

  1. Introduction
  2. Extreme Events
  3. Relationship Between Climate Change and Extreme Events
  4. Occurrence of Extreme Events – Sea Level Rise
  5. Occurrence of Extreme Events – Melting of Glaciers and Ice Caps
  6. Occurrence of Extreme Events – Drought
  7. Occurrence of Extreme Events – Forest Fires
  8. Occurrence of Extreme Events – Floods
  9. Occurrence of Extreme Events – Cyclones

13 International Initiatives

  1. History of Climate Change Debate
  2. Rio Declaration on Environment and Development
  3. UNFCCC
  4. IPCC
  5. Climate Change and the North-South Debate
  6. Kyoto Protocol
  7. Marrakesh Accord
  8. Bali Action Plan
  9. Copenhagen Summit
  10. Paris Agreement on Climate Change
  11. India’s Response Framework

14 National Level Action Plan

  1. Copenhagen Summit 2009
  2. India and Copenhagen Summit
  3. India’s Policy and Action towards Renewable Energy Sources
  4. Paris Agreement
  5. National Action Plan on Climate Change

15 State Level Action Plan

  1. Introduction
  2. Policy Formulation
  3. Agencies involved in Policy Formulation in India
  4. State Governments’ Efforts to Address Climate Change: State Action Plan
  5. Tamil Nadu
  6. Delhi
  7. Jharkhand
  8. Assessment of State Action Plans on Climate Change

16 Local Level Initiatives

  1. Status of Degradation of Natural Resources
  2. Techniques of Natural Resources Management
  3. Case Studies on Natural Resources Management
  4. Climate Change and Socio-Economic Vulnerability to Cyclones and Floods in Coastal Odisha โ€“ A Case Study of Women Self Help Group