Every year, the planet loses productive land at an alarming rate. The world loses 12 million hectares of productive land annually due to desertification and drought, with far-reaching consequences that include falling crop yields, food loss, rising tensions over natural resources, forced migration, and weakened resilience to climate change. While climate change drives many environmental challenges, desertification represents one of the most severe forms of land degradation, silently threatening the livelihoods of billions of people worldwide.
Table of Contents
- Understanding desertification as land degradation
- Global vulnerability patterns and high-risk regions
- North Africa and Mediterranean vulnerability
- Central and Southern Asia
- The scale of productive land loss
- Environmental consequences of desertification
- Carbon emissions and climate feedback
- Soil erosion and gully formation
- How desertification alters local climate
- The human dimension: populations at risk
- Food security and crop production
- The climate change connection
- Addressing the crisis
Understanding desertification as land degradation
The United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification defines desertification as land degradation in arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid areas resulting from various factors, including climatic variations and human activities. This definition is crucial because it clarifies that desertification is not simply the natural expansion of existing deserts. Rather, it describes a gradual process where productive land loses its fertility and capacity to sustain life.
The degradation includes the temporary or permanent decline in quality of soil, vegetation, water resources, and wildlife. It also involves the deterioration of the land’s economic productivity, such as the ability to farm for commercial or subsistence purposes. Currently, about 500 million people live within areas that have experienced desertification since the 1980s.
Global vulnerability patterns and high-risk regions
Research has identified specific regions across the globe that face particularly severe desertification vulnerability. Mediterranean countries of North Africa, West African nations, large areas of Central and Southern Asia, South America, and northeast Brazil are particularly prone to desertification. The vulnerability is highest in regions where dense populations exert pressure on already fragile ecosystems.
In Africa, desertification affects the continent severely. Two-thirds of Africa consists of desert or drylands, and three-quarters of the continent’s drylands used for agriculture have already begun to lose productivity. The Sahel region, which stretches from the Atlantic Ocean to the Red Sea along the southern fringe of the Sahara, faces some of the most acute challenges.
North Africa and Mediterranean vulnerability
The Mediterranean basin presents a complex desertification picture. North African countries like Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, and Algeria are already facing consequences of declining annual rainfall and increasing instances of drought. These nations experience serious declines particularly in winter rainfall, which is critical for agriculture and water resource replenishment.
Morocco loses between 0.5% and 0.8% of its forests annually, diminishing the soil’s ability to retain moisture and nutrients. This deforestation, combined with unsustainable agricultural practices such as deep ploughing and excessive water use, contributes significantly to regional desertification.
Central and Southern Asia
Central and Southern Asia face mounting desertification pressure from both climate factors and human activities. Countries in this region experience high population density combined with agricultural intensification, creating conditions where land resources are stretched beyond sustainable limits. The combination of reduced rainfall, rising temperatures, and overgrazing accelerates soil degradation across vast areas.
The scale of productive land loss
The numbers surrounding global land loss are staggering. The UN reports that 12 million hectares of arable land are lost to drought and desertification annually, which represents land capable of producing 20 million tonnes of grain. To put this in perspective, this amounts to 23 hectares per minute being degraded.
Land degradation affects almost 2 billion hectares of land worldwide, home to 1.5 billion people. Every year, 24 billion tons of fertile soils are lost due to erosion. Between 2015 and 2019, the world lost at least 100 million hectares of healthy and productive land each year, adding up to twice the size of Greenland.
Environmental consequences of desertification
Desertification triggers a cascade of environmental problems that compound over time. Reduced land cover is among the most visible impacts, as vegetation dies and soil becomes exposed to erosive forces. This loss of plant cover directly affects water quantity and quality in affected regions.
Wind erosion becomes a major problem in desertified areas. Strong winds remove topsoil, which typically contains more nutrients than subsoil. This nutrient depletion lowers soil production capacity and exposes subsurface layers with inferior physical qualities, reducing soil permeability. Wind erosion can also bury crops beneath blown sand and cause physical damage through abrasion.
Carbon emissions and climate feedback
Rising global temperatures have led to increased rates of evaporation and less soil moisture, causing vegetation to die. When vegetation cover is reduced or eliminated, carbon stored in soils and plants is released back into the atmosphere. Dryland soils contain over a quarter of all of the organic carbon stores in the world.
This creates a dangerous feedback loop. Desertification contributes to increased carbon dioxide emissions, which accelerates global warming, which in turn intensifies conditions that promote further desertification. The loss of vegetation also reduces the land’s capacity for carbon sequestration, removing a natural mechanism for removing CO2 from the atmosphere.
Soil erosion and gully formation
Physical degradation of land manifests through various erosion processes. Water erosion occurs when heavy rainfall strikes exposed soil, washing away the nutrient-rich topsoil and creating gullies. These gullies can deepen and expand over time, rendering large areas unsuitable for agriculture. Wind erosion similarly removes valuable topsoil, creating dust storms and depleting soil fertility across affected regions.
How desertification alters local climate
Desertification fundamentally changes how land surfaces interact with the atmosphere. Rising global temperatures lead to increased rates of evaporation and less soil moisture, causing vegetation to die. When a region already prone to arid conditions loses vegetation, it creates a self-reinforcing cycle where vegetation loss depletes soil nutrients, making the land even more vulnerable to erosion.
With no plant cover protecting the ground, bare soil absorbs and radiates heat differently than vegetated land. This changes local temperature patterns and can alter rainfall distribution. Desertified areas often experience reduced cloud formation and precipitation, making drought conditions more likely and severe. The altered surface conditions create high-pressure systems that inhibit rainfall, perpetuating dry conditions.
The human dimension: populations at risk
It is estimated that 135 million people are at risk of being displaced by desertification. The problem is most severe in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in the Sahel and the Horn of Africa. People living in already degraded or desertified areas are increasingly negatively affected by climate change.
Desertification aggravates existing economic, social, and environmental problems. It exacerbates poverty, poor health, lack of food security, biodiversity loss, water scarcity, forced migration, and lowered resilience to climate change or natural disasters. When land degrades to the point where it cannot support agricultural livelihoods, rural communities face impossible choices between staying and facing food insecurity or migrating to urban areas or other regions.
Food security and crop production
Decreased crop production stands as one of the most immediate threats from desertification. In 2023, Morocco saw a 40% drop in cereal production compared to its typical annual averages. This decline in food production capacity exacerbates poverty and malnutrition, deepening the cycle of scarcity and increasing the vulnerability of rural communities.
Agricultural yields could fall dramatically in affected countries if production practices are not changed. The loss of productive land means less area available for growing food crops, while degraded soil produces lower yields even when cultivation continues. This creates food insecurity that extends beyond the immediately affected regions as reduced agricultural output impacts regional and global food supplies.
The climate change connection
Between 1982 and 2015, anthropogenic climate change degraded 12.6% of drylands, contributing to desertification and affecting 213 million people, 93% of whom live in developing economies. The relationship between climate change and desertification is complex and bidirectional.
Climate change affects rainfall patterns around the world, which contributes to desertification. Rainfall has a cooling effect on land surfaces, so a decline in rainfall allows soils to dry out in the heat and become more prone to erosion. Changes in precipitation timing and intensity can leave soils waterlogged during heavy rains but parched during extended dry periods.
Risks from desertification are projected to increase due to climate change. At 2ยฐC of global warming, the number of dryland populations exposed to water stress, drought intensity, and habitat degradation could reach over 1.1 billion people. Around half of the vulnerable population would be in South Asia, followed by Central Asia, West Africa, and East Asia.
Addressing the crisis
Combating desertification requires long-term integrated strategies that focus on improving already degraded land, ongoing rehabilitation and conservation, and managing sustainable land and water resources. Prevention is far more effective and less costly than attempting to restore severely degraded land.
Sustainable land management practices show promise in affected regions. These include reforestation to stabilize soil and improve moisture retention, agroforestry that combines trees and crops to reduce erosion, improved irrigation techniques that conserve water, and pasture rotation systems that prevent overgrazing. Success requires involvement from local communities who understand the land and have direct stakes in its productivity.
What do you think? How can communities balance immediate food production needs with long-term land conservation? What role should wealthier nations play in supporting desertification prevention efforts in vulnerable regions?
References
- https://press.un.org/en/2019/sgsm19680.doc.htm
- https://www.unccd.int/article-1-use-terms
- https://www.unccd.int/land-and-life/desertification/overview
- https://www.greenpeace.org/mena/en/desertification-in-north-africa/
- https://www.prb.org/resources/africas-struggle-with-desertification/
- https://councilonstrategicrisks.org/2024/07/18/ecological-security-threats-in-north-africa-for-2040-water-scarcity-and-desertification/
- https://reliefweb.int/report/world/high-price-desertification-23-hectares-land-minute
- https://www.fao.org/in-action/action-against-desertification/overview/desertification-and-land-degradation/es/
- https://www.unccd.int/news-stories/press-releases/least-100-million-hectares-healthy-land-now-lost-each-year
- https://earth.org/desertification-and-climate-change-whats-the-link/
- https://www.greenfacts.org/en/desertification/l-3/7-climate-change-biodiversity-loss.htm
- https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-desertification-and-the-role-of-climate-change/
- https://www.undrr.org/understanding-disaster-risk/terminology/hips/en0206
- https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17710-7
- https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/chapter/chapter-3/
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